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AI P(doom) Predictions
P(doom) represents each person's publicly stated estimate of the probability that advanced AI will cause human extinction or civilizational collapse.
EY
Eliezer
99%
GH
Geoffrey
50%
DA
Dario
25%
EM
Elon
15%
YB
Yoshua
20%
VB
Vitalik
10%
TO
Toby
10%
YL
Yann
0.01%
0%25%50%75%100%
P(doom)